← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+7.29vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.89+5.69vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.07vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.70+4.16vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.99+2.06vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.69+2.26vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+4.99vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.63vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.20+1.40vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-0.41vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86+0.92vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College2.03-0.53vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.73-0.83vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.65-1.73vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.23-8.92vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.07-9.17vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.91-5.25vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.29Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.69Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.07U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.16Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.06Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.26Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
-
11.99St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.63University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.4Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
-
9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
11.92Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.47Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
12.17George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.27Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
6.08Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.83Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
-
11.75Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
| Ellie Maus | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| Emily Allen | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.