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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+11.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+5.73vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+5.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+5.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.15vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.91+4.63vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.17vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.99-2.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-1.17vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.07-4.11vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.73+0.61vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-1.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-4.96vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-3.97vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.86-4.09vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-8.58vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.20-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.71Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.63Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.89Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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12.61George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.03Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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11.91Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.42Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.22Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 18.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 18.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.