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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+7.31vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.99+4.22vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+6.25vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.07+1.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.69+2.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+2.98vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+0.28vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.73+2.60vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.17vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-3.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.89-5.65vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.11-3.56vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.86-3.22vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-3.33vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-8.30vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.91-6.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.22Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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10.25Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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12.6George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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8.59Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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11.78Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.67Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 16.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 17.9% |
| Dana Haig | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.