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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.69+7.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+5.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.07+3.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.98vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+5.30vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+5.66vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.99+0.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+1.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.23-2.96vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-1.46vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-2.97vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86+0.16vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.11-2.40vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.73-2.00vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-6.54vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-4.82vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.84vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.65-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.3Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University2.990.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.0%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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12.16Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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12.0George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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12.44Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% |
| Dana Haig | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.