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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+7.50vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+6.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.33+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41+2.82vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55+1.15vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16+1.77vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.70-1.57vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.69-2.16vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.91-4.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-1.59vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-4.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.40-6.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.86vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.03-2.71vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.01-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.96Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.82Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.77Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.29Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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14.05Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Berta Puig | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 31.6% |
| Megan Geith | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.