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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+7.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.41+6.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+1.91vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.03+8.98vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+3.13vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.41+1.72vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.66vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.16+0.82vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+0.14vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-3.25vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.65vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-3.93vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.70-6.73vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.91-8.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.12vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.01-2.62vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.0Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.98Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.82Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.27Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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14.38Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 16.8% | 29.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Berta Puig | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Megan Geith | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 33.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.