Race 6A

bu

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ben Greenfield 27.4% 24.8% 17.6% 10.6% 7.6% 5.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 7.8% 9.1% 11.2% 10.2% 11.9% 10.4% 11.9% 8.3% 9.2% 7.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Phoebe Sprague 7.8% 7.4% 7.0% 9.4% 10.4% 10.2% 10.1% 12.2% 11.2% 9.4% 4.3% 0.6%
Ryan Byrne 4.4% 5.7% 6.9% 10.0% 7.6% 9.3% 11.2% 11.2% 12.8% 11.4% 7.2% 2.3%
Bradley Milliken 9.3% 7.6% 9.8% 10.1% 10.5% 11.2% 11.7% 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 3.8% 1.0%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 4.0% 4.7% 8.6% 18.8% 53.2%
Steven Drapcho 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 8.4% 11.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.6% 10.7% 8.2% 4.0% 1.6%
Timothy Scanlon 10.1% 8.9% 10.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.9% 10.3% 10.2% 9.2% 5.5% 4.0% 1.3%
Christopher Hulse 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.0% 20.3% 22.2% 8.3%
T. Max Bulger 8.2% 8.8% 8.7% 11.6% 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 11.7% 8.5% 6.2% 4.1% 0.9%
Matthew Schon 12.8% 13.3% 14.2% 13.3% 10.8% 11.2% 8.6% 7.3% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Chris Mangieri 1.2% 2.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 5.0% 10.1% 12.7% 28.0% 30.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.