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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+9.38vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+7.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+5.33vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.91+2.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.79vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.70+1.56vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.89vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.03+5.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-0.64vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.04vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.41-2.77vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.41-4.41vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-4.51vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.16-5.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-4.36vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.69-9.23vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.01-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.33Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.56Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.15Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.59Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.73Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.1Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 29.9% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Berta Puig | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.