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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.94vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+8.84vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.41+4.67vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.91vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+3.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.99vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30+1.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-2.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-2.21vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-1.06vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-3.49vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.41-4.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.40-5.47vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.03-0.87vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.69-8.32vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.01-2.64vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.91Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.12Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.65Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.94Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.51Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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14.13Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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14.36Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.0% |
| Berta Puig | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 30.0% |
| Bridget Green | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 33.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.