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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+8.60vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+6.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.75vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.41+3.38vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+2.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+4.21vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.40vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-1.22vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.16-0.26vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-3.62vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-4.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.50vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-0.46vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.45vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.03-2.13vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.30-7.93vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.91-11.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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7.62Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.54Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.55U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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13.87Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Berta Puig | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Megan Geith | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 20.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 32.4% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 23.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.