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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+6.54vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+5.44vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+6.97vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.77vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+2.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+1.77vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+5.69vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.41-0.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.78+4.70vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.16-1.33vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.91-5.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.69vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.41-5.81vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.30-6.18vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.46vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.03-3.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-6.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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13.69Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.7U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.67Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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13.89Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Geith | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 23.0% |
| Berta Puig | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 33.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.