← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.78vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.59vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+8.11vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.69+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.41+3.10vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+7.92vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.70+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.55-0.45vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.41-0.87vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University2.30-1.12vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.12-5.32vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.54vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.91-6.86vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.03-0.78vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.33-6.59vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University2.16-6.72vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University1.01-3.30vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy0.78-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.78University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
6.91Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.1Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
13.92St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
7.01Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.55Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
8.13Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
-
8.88Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
5.68Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
-
9.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
-
6.14Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
-
13.22Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.41Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
9.28Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
-
13.7Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
14.14U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Snead | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Bridget Green | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Lily Flack | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 22.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Berta Puig | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Megan Geith | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 20.1% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.