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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+6.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+6.77vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.70+4.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+5.44vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+0.75vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01+7.93vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.41+1.46vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30+0.87vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.91-2.54vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03+4.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.33-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.06-1.64vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.59vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-0.03vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.55-7.11vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-6.42vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.44Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.93Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.46Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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14.02Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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13.97St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Bayless | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 24.4% |
| Berta Puig | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 24.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Lily Flack | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 26.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.