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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+8.05vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.91+4.69vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.03+11.12vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.01+9.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.41+3.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.30+2.97vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12-1.26vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.41+0.45vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91+5.23vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-2.47vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-3.59vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.69-5.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.30vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.06-5.98vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.16-7.27vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.40-9.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College2.910.1%1st Place
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14.12Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.68Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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14.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.41Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.73Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 26.9% |
| Megan Geith | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 24.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 11.8% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Lily Flack | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 27.0% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.