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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+7.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.38+4.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.38+2.47vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+2.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-2.43vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+4.34vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.24vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.61vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.85-5.10vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.97-2.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.20-1.70vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.47vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.08vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-3.36vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.14-5.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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9.36Brown University2.224.5%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University2.688.0%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.385.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
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4.57Harvard University3.1817.8%1st Place
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12.34Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.4%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.227.0%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.8511.5%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University1.975.1%1st Place
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11.3Connecticut College1.202.3%1st Place
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12.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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12.64University of Vermont1.052.0%1st Place
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11.13Boston University1.142.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Mason Stang | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 18.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 22.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.