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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+1.90vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy1.62+6.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.72vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.31+0.49vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.84+0.65vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.76-1.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65-2.02vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.96vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.41-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.98-1.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.81-6.21vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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8.63Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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4.49Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.65Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.83Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
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5.79Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.62Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 29.3% | 22.3% | 17.1% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 11.7% |
| Bradley Milliken | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schon | 12.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| T. Max Bulger | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Steven Drapcho | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Byrne | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Chris Mangieri | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 27.4% | 30.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.4% | 22.3% | 51.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.