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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+7.19vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+7.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+3.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+4.30vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12-0.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.14+6.01vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.33+0.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.17vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.03+3.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.19vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.41-3.73vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-4.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.78-0.80vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.04-6.46vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.06-7.57vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.28-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.15Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.98Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.26Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.01Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.16Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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13.6Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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14.2U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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9.54Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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12.34Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 22.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Berta Puig | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 29.3% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.