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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+7.14vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+6.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+2.42vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.28vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.28+7.38vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+1.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.78+7.15vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.41-0.14vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.04+0.38vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.80vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.14vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-4.92vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-4.82vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-5.14vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.16-6.06vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-6.97vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.03-3.45vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.14-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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12.38Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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7.39Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.15U. S. Naval Academy0.780.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.94Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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13.55Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.87Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berta Puig | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Carlyn Blauvelt | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 28.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Bridget Green | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Snead | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.