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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+9.03vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+5.88vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+6.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.41+4.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.03+8.59vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.72vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.69+0.12vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.99vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-0.33vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.41-1.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.57vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-6.19vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.33-4.61vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-5.02vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.16-5.71vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-2.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.37vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.28-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.03Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.59Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.12Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.29Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.46Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.76Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 26.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Bridget Green | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Berta Puig | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 22.5% |
| Emma Snead | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.