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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.41+6.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.43vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+3.58vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.04+4.75vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.03+7.75vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.09vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-1.17vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.41-2.64vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-2.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.61vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.16-5.01vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-2.16vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-2.52vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-7.51vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.69-11.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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13.75Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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11.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.84Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.48Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.83Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 26.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Berta Puig | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 18.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 22.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Bridget Green | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.