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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+4.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.41+6.52vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+4.24vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.04+5.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+4.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41+1.22vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.16+1.24vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.29-0.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.27vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.60vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.55-3.99vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-0.28vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.33-5.68vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.96vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-2.48vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.03-3.09vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.06-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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7.24Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.72Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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13.52Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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13.91Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Berta Puig | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Maartje van Dam | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 28.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.