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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.41+7.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.33+6.80vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+4.26vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+1.44vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.16+4.23vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.03+7.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41+1.19vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.04+1.72vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.08vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-1.63vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.26vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.55-5.45vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.28-1.45vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.14-1.66vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.69vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.29-8.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Stanford University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.44Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.23Tulane University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.78Jacksonville University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston College2.040.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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7.55Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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12.55Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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13.34Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berta Puig | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Maartje van Dam | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 26.8% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 16.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 23.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Emma Snead | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.