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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.23+0.91vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.24+0.45vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.45+1.02vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27-0.17vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.72+1.02vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.27-0.71vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.71-0.97vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Michigan State University0.230.5%1st Place
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2.45Grand Valley State University-0.240.3%1st Place
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4.02Miami University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.83Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.02Miami University-2.720.0%1st Place
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5.29Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.03Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.45Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Koerschner | 46.2% | 29.2% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Michels | 26.5% | 31.3% | 22.5% | 12.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 8.1% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Emily Williams | 8.8% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Carroll | 2.4% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 27.1% | 22.6% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 4.1% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 11.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 22.0% | 26.6% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 23.3% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.