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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.24+1.38vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.23-0.06vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.45+1.06vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.72+1.03vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-2.71-0.03vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.46vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.27-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Grand Valley State University-0.240.3%1st Place
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1.94Michigan State University0.230.4%1st Place
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4.06Miami University-1.450.1%1st Place
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3.82Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.03Miami University-2.720.0%1st Place
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5.97Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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6.54Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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5.26Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Michels | 28.3% | 32.1% | 21.4% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Koerschner | 44.1% | 29.7% | 16.8% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 8.4% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 13.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Emily Williams | 9.4% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Carroll | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 26.3% | 22.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 22.3% | 23.6% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 40.7% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.