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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.76+4.87vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.84+3.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65+2.10vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07-2.10vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.41+0.76vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65-0.98vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.31-3.57vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.81-3.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.98-0.19vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.24vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.02Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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4.43Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.81University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
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8.76Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.58Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Max Bulger | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Steven Drapcho | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Ben Greenfield | 31.0% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Byrne | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schon | 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Chris Mangieri | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 14.3% | 25.8% | 30.8% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 21.1% | 12.6% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 24.0% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.