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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.50vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.23+0.27vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+0.95vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-2.27+1.42vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.72+1.08vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.10+0.52vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.71-0.93vs Predicted
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8Miami University-1.45-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
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2.27Michigan State University0.230.2%1st Place
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3.95Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.42Western Michigan University-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.08Miami University-2.720.0%1st Place
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6.52Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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6.07Western Michigan University-2.710.0%1st Place
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4.19Miami University-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 62.9% | 26.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Koerschner | 23.4% | 41.2% | 23.3% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 5.7% | 11.3% | 22.9% | 25.4% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Anastasia Sikkila | 1.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 18.9% | 11.4% |
| Patrick Carroll | 0.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 25.6% | 22.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 20.8% | 38.8% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.5% | 2.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 24.7% |
| Suzanne Ackley | 3.3% | 9.4% | 22.3% | 25.2% | 19.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.