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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.31+3.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.81+3.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.68vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.41+2.77vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+0.12vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07-4.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.76-2.33vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.55+1.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84-4.55vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-4.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.98-2.04vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.67Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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6.77Harvard University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.49Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
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8.68Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schon | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 7.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Byrne | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 29.9% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| T. Max Bulger | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 50.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 7.8% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Steven Drapcho | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Chris Mangieri | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 29.5% | 31.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.