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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.79vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.12+1.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.09+1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.93vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11+1.20vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-1.65vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-3.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.43vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-2.12vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.01-0.53vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.07-4.62vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.79Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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7.35Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.95Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.88Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.47Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 16.9% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 7.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 19.8% | 37.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| Carter Brock | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.