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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+3.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+2.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+2.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+3.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+2.56vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+3.20vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.07+2.25vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-2.14vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+2.99vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-3.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-4.14vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-2.80vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.98-3.15vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.67vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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4.37Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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6.86Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.2Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.85Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.33Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.4% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 11.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 21.3% | 27.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 17.1% | 37.7% |
| John Ped | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.