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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+7.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+3.69vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+2.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+3.50vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59-0.43vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80-0.20vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07+1.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.49vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.98-0.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-5.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11-2.55vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-0.94vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-6.61vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.94-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.69Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.57Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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6.85Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.03Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.44Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.5% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Carter Brock | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 30.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Will Davies | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.