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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+5.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+3.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.85vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.57vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+4.36vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.89vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+0.52vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.59-3.48vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18-0.09vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-4.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-3.56vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.94+0.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-0.96vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-4.84vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.76Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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4.85Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.52Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.44Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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12.69Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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12.04Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Will Davies | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 18.0% | 40.4% |
| Carter Brock | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 21.3% | 29.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.