← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.80+5.76vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.07+7.10vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+2.74vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.59+0.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.11+4.21vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.43-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.61+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.65-0.58vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.50vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.98-0.28vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University3.09-4.98vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.18-2.77vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.82-5.91vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.18-2.07vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.94-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.1Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
-
5.74Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
4.5Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
9.21University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
4.87Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
7.48Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.42Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.72Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.02Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.23Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.09Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
11.93Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
12.42Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.1% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Carter Brock | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 29.4% |
| Will Davies | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.