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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+6.49vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+2.45vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+6.04vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.07+3.52vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82-0.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.13vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-4.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-1.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.11-3.46vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.55vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.45Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.52Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.5Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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12.45Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 42.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.