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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+5.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.49vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+1.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.07+5.44vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.59-0.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+0.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.09-1.07vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.65-0.47vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-3.95vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11-2.40vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.78-2.40vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.89Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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4.63Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.53Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.05Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.1Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.5Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.75Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.3% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 15.4% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 42.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.