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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+4.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.00vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.18+1.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+7.27vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.07+7.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+2.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.48vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+3.52vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-0.62vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.38-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-3.89vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-3.76vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.61vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.97-5.11vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.38-8.46vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.20-5.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Yale University2.8511.6%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
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4.47Harvard University3.1817.9%1st Place
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11.27Boston University1.142.6%1st Place
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12.44Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College2.025.5%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.227.3%1st Place
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6.65Roger Williams University2.688.8%1st Place
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12.52University of Vermont1.051.9%1st Place
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9.38Brown University2.224.0%1st Place
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8.45Bowdoin College2.386.2%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island2.786.5%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.775.1%1st Place
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12.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.2%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University1.973.4%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College2.386.2%1st Place
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11.16Connecticut College1.202.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 21.2% |
| Mason Stang | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 19.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| William Michels | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.