Race 10A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Schon 12.9% 13.5% 13.4% 13.4% 12.8% 10.1% 8.9% 5.9% 4.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 7.7% 9.2% 10.3% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 10.8% 10.9% 9.7% 5.1% 3.9% 0.4%
Steven Drapcho 7.7% 7.2% 9.7% 8.5% 8.0% 9.6% 11.4% 13.3% 11.3% 8.9% 3.7% 0.7%
T. Max Bulger 6.3% 8.7% 10.3% 10.4% 11.6% 9.8% 10.9% 10.4% 9.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0%
Bradley Milliken 7.9% 8.6% 10.6% 10.1% 10.9% 11.9% 10.3% 9.5% 9.0% 6.7% 3.7% 0.8%
Conor Lodge 9.2% 9.0% 9.1% 9.9% 10.9% 11.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 6.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Ben Greenfield 31.3% 23.2% 14.2% 11.1% 9.1% 5.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Byrne 5.9% 7.2% 6.4% 9.3% 7.9% 8.2% 10.4% 12.1% 12.5% 10.4% 7.2% 2.5%
Phoebe Sprague 6.3% 7.5% 9.7% 10.8% 10.6% 12.3% 10.0% 10.0% 11.6% 8.1% 2.8% 0.3%
Christopher Hulse 2.7% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 4.2% 5.2% 6.9% 8.8% 11.6% 18.2% 19.8% 11.8%
Chris Mangieri 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.5% 14.7% 28.8% 30.8%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.7% 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 10.0% 22.3% 51.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.