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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.59+3.48vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+3.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+2.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.43+0.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+2.55vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.78+4.45vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.11+0.25vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.30vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18-1.84vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.07-2.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-5.12vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-4.28vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.01-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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7.55Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.42Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 16.4% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| John Ped | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Taylor Eastman | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.