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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+3.92vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+2.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+2.98vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.98+5.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.72vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+1.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12-1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80-1.02vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.18+0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11-0.59vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-4.04vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.78-1.28vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.61-5.13vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.01-1.54vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.07-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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4.38Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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5.98Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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7.51Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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5.86Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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6.96Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.72Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.46Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.6% | 18.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alex Bowdler | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% |
| John Ped | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 42.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.