← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.59+3.50vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.43+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.61+4.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.11+4.37vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.12-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.78+3.36vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University2.18+1.11vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.65-1.53vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.82-2.95vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.26vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.98-1.93vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.09-6.79vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.01-1.53vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.07-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.5Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
-
4.83Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
-
7.49Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
-
9.37University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.91Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.36Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
-
9.11Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.47Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.05Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
-
10.07Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
-
6.21Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
12.47Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
-
9.45Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Parkin | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 15.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 15.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 10.8% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 42.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.