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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+6.54vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+2.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.18+6.08vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+1.03vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+0.91vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.78+3.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.98+1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.80-2.12vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.59-5.39vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.01+1.50vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.07-2.22vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.09-6.76vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.65-6.52vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.11-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.91Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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4.61Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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12.5Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.78Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.48Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.0% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| John Ped | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 3.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 8.4% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 15.1% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 15.0% | 43.8% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 8.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.