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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+6.55vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.07+7.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+2.85vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.80+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.11+4.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.09-0.01vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+2.05vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.59-3.41vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.01+3.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.43-5.00vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.78-0.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.65-4.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-5.83vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-4.26vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.33Dartmouth College2.070.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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9.05Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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4.59Stanford University3.590.2%1st Place
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12.56Northwestern University1.010.0%1st Place
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5.0Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.8Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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7.17Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Jack Parkin | 16.3% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lillian Nemeth | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 17.3% | 41.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bowdler | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% |
| John Ped | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.