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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.83vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+3.89vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+2.29vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.83vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.36+1.81vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.73+2.83vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71-1.40vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89+0.35vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.00-4.28vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-3.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.57vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.20-4.42vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.93-4.74vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.29Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.81Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.6Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.5Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.64Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Grace Gear | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 6.4% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Walter Henry | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Alex Abate | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 13.3% |
| Perham Black | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.