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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+9.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.07+3.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.00+2.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.45+3.43vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+1.65vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.84+0.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.73+2.86vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.70+4.74vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93+0.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.20-1.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.92-5.05vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.96vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.46-5.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-6.23vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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12.74Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.66Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 9.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 48.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Perham Black | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Walter Henry | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Grace Gear | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.