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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+2.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.55+3.73vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.52+2.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.08+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.34+4.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.07+1.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University0.91+0.82vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.40+1.48vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.95-1.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.78-1.94vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.41-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.54+0.37vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.60-7.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.21-3.77vs Predicted
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15Brown University-0.07-3.85vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island-1.91-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Brown University2.2823.2%1st Place
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5.73Roger Williams University1.559.8%1st Place
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5.81Roger Williams University1.5210.7%1st Place
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7.17Brown University1.086.7%1st Place
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9.62University of Rhode Island0.343.5%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.076.1%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University0.915.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.403.8%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University0.955.5%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.784.9%1st Place
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9.58Brown University0.413.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Rhode Island-0.541.6%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University1.6010.2%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island0.213.5%1st Place
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11.15Brown University-0.071.8%1st Place
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14.77University of Rhode Island-1.910.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Stapleton | 23.2% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bo Angus | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| David Vinogradov | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Parker Moore | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Judge | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| reece schwartz | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Joey Richardson | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Gabby Collins | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Finneas Coldreck | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 26.8% | 14.3% |
| Jack Roman | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Lentz | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 3.1% |
| William Baker | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
| Leo Giard | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 11.5% | 68.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.