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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.69+0.70vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.69-0.30vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.39+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.60-2.26vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.62-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-2.89-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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1.7Marquette University0.690.5%1st Place
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3.4Western Michigan University-1.390.1%1st Place
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1.74University of Notre Dame0.600.4%1st Place
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3.6University of Notre Dame-1.620.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Michigan-2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Farrell | 46.6% | 39.7% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Farrell | 46.6% | 39.7% | 10.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliott Sikkenga | 5.7% | 7.8% | 38.0% | 37.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Golden | 43.2% | 42.3% | 11.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stephens | 3.6% | 8.1% | 30.6% | 39.8% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Grobbel | 0.9% | 2.1% | 8.7% | 17.5% | 70.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.