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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Boston University4.07+0.93vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.81+2.65vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.84+1.62vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.31-0.53vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-0.27vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.76-1.18vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.41-1.39vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-2.96vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy1.62-1.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-4.96vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University0.55-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.98-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Boston University4.070.3%1st Place
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5.65Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.62Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University3.310.1%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.1%1st Place
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5.82Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.410.1%1st Place
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6.04Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.58Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.1%1st Place
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10.62Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 26.7% | 25.1% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Conor Lodge | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Schon | 12.3% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Milliken | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| T. Max Bulger | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Byrne | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Hulse | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 10.3% |
| Steven Drapcho | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 22.9% | 51.8% |
| Chris Mangieri | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 15.3% | 27.6% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.