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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+4.34vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+8.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+2.10vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+2.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.00-0.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.89+1.41vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.93+0.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.05vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.71-4.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.20-3.44vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.73-2.79vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.36-6.34vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.53Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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7.41Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.41University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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9.28Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.68Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Alex Abate | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 11.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Walter Henry | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Perham Black | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.