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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.46+6.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+5.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+2.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+4.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92+0.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.50vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.93+2.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.36-0.22vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.73+0.89vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-3.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.84-4.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-3.33vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.00-8.47vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.70-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.28Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.22Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.78Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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9.89Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.22Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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12.65Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Henry | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 8.8% |
| Alex Fasolo | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Alex Abate | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| Grace Gear | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.