← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.66vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.92+3.70vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.07+2.32vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.36+3.74vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.19vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.00-0.35vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.93+2.21vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.71-1.42vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.20-0.73vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College2.45-2.44vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.84-4.84vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.89-2.36vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College2.46-5.30vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.73-4.05vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University0.70-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
5.7Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
-
5.32Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
7.74Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.65Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
-
9.21Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
-
6.58Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.27Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
-
7.56Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.16Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
-
9.64University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
7.7Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
9.95Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
-
12.68Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Alex Abate | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Perham Black | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% |
| Walter Henry | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 9.8% |
| Marina Hutzler | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.