Race 10B

captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Oliver Hurwitz 7.8% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 8.3% 5.8% 7.7% 5.0% 5.6% 2.1%
Aidan Hoogland 11.3% 13.7% 11.5% 8.6% 10.2% 9.1% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 5.7% 3.6% 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Marina Hutzler 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.4% 5.4% 7.8% 16.1% 46.4%
Henry Burnes 10.3% 10.4% 9.0% 10.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.8% 7.5% 6.1% 5.6% 6.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Alex Abate 3.5% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 5.1% 3.3% 5.4% 4.8% 6.6% 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 14.4% 14.7% 12.0%
Emma Cowles 10.1% 10.8% 9.8% 9.4% 10.0% 8.4% 9.0% 8.2% 6.8% 4.6% 5.2% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.4%
Walter Henry 8.1% 5.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 9.0% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.2% 5.6% 4.2% 2.2%
Adrian van der Wal 6.4% 5.3% 7.8% 6.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 7.6% 7.0% 4.7% 2.2%
Wiley Rogers 12.4% 12.1% 12.3% 11.1% 9.5% 9.6% 6.3% 7.0% 6.0% 5.4% 3.4% 2.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Alex Fasolo 7.9% 9.3% 7.5% 10.1% 7.7% 9.3% 7.4% 6.8% 8.6% 6.4% 7.1% 5.5% 3.1% 2.5% 0.8%
Peter Cronin 2.7% 2.9% 4.1% 4.9% 3.9% 3.9% 5.1% 6.5% 5.9% 8.3% 6.4% 8.3% 10.9% 14.3% 11.9%
Perham Black 4.6% 4.0% 5.3% 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.0% 8.1% 7.1% 9.8% 9.2% 7.4% 7.6% 4.8%
Parker Colantuono 5.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.1% 7.4% 7.7% 9.7% 7.5% 8.5% 8.0% 5.7% 1.9%
Parker Purrington 3.7% 4.1% 4.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.7% 4.8% 5.9% 6.3% 8.5% 8.7% 9.3% 11.0% 10.4% 6.5%
Grace Gear 4.0% 4.7% 4.4% 3.8% 3.6% 5.9% 6.5% 7.0% 5.5% 6.9% 8.5% 9.9% 10.6% 10.7% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.