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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+6.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.00+3.51vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+3.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+1.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.20+3.41vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+1.44vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.07-1.62vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.93+1.29vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-2.94vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.89-0.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-0.77vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.45-4.31vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.70-0.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.73-4.13vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.48Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.9Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.41Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.44Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.38Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.85Northwestern University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.87Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.72Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Perham Black | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Walter Henry | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Wiley Rogers | 13.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Grace Gear | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% |
| Alex Abate | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 12.2% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 15.0% | 50.6% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.