Race 13B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Wiley Rogers 13.9% 11.7% 12.3% 9.8% 8.8% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 5.8% 4.7% 3.6% 2.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.6%
Alex Fasolo 8.1% 10.5% 9.6% 8.6% 9.1% 8.2% 7.2% 7.7% 6.3% 7.4% 5.6% 4.7% 4.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Oliver Hurwitz 7.4% 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 7.0% 8.0% 7.3% 7.3% 6.9% 8.3% 9.1% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0% 1.4%
Walter Henry 6.2% 7.7% 6.5% 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 6.6% 8.3% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2%
Alex Abate 3.3% 2.9% 4.2% 3.0% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.5% 5.6% 5.6% 6.9% 10.2% 12.1% 16.0% 11.7%
Adrian van der Wal 5.9% 6.0% 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 9.3% 9.5% 8.8% 6.4% 6.1% 4.4% 2.3%
Henry Burnes 10.1% 8.8% 9.1% 10.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 7.3% 6.8% 5.4% 4.8% 4.0% 3.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Emma Cowles 11.4% 9.9% 10.6% 9.5% 9.7% 7.6% 7.4% 8.2% 7.3% 6.4% 4.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Parker Purrington 3.5% 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 4.1% 7.2% 6.4% 5.8% 7.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.7% 11.0% 8.5% 6.8%
Marina Hutzler 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 3.2% 3.4% 4.0% 5.0% 7.6% 16.9% 47.5%
Parker Colantuono 6.1% 7.6% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.1% 6.1% 7.6% 7.2% 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 6.2% 5.5% 3.3%
Grace Gear 3.7% 2.8% 2.6% 4.6% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 7.2% 11.4% 10.7% 12.0% 7.9%
Peter Cronin 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 4.0% 3.8% 5.0% 5.4% 4.9% 7.0% 8.1% 9.6% 13.3% 13.8% 11.5%
Aidan Hoogland 12.0% 11.7% 11.1% 10.9% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 7.5% 7.1% 4.5% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Perham Black 5.2% 6.2% 6.0% 5.2% 6.1% 6.2% 7.4% 5.4% 8.8% 7.9% 9.1% 8.1% 7.9% 7.0% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.