Race 14B

captain-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Parker Purrington 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 5.2% 5.2% 4.4% 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 9.7% 10.1% 10.3% 7.6%
Wiley Rogers 12.9% 12.7% 12.7% 10.5% 10.1% 9.3% 6.7% 6.2% 5.7% 4.4% 3.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Emma Cowles 10.4% 11.5% 9.9% 9.9% 9.5% 8.9% 8.1% 7.9% 6.1% 6.3% 4.5% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Henry Burnes 10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.9% 7.7% 6.7% 7.3% 8.3% 5.3% 5.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5%
Alex Fasolo 8.1% 9.7% 7.9% 8.0% 9.4% 7.1% 7.4% 8.6% 8.2% 7.1% 5.9% 4.6% 3.9% 3.9% 0.2%
Oliver Hurwitz 6.2% 7.3% 6.9% 6.2% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.0% 4.1% 1.4%
Adrian van der Wal 7.4% 5.5% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 7.3% 5.5% 5.4% 2.8%
Aidan Hoogland 13.2% 10.8% 10.9% 9.2% 7.3% 9.8% 8.0% 7.9% 6.5% 5.5% 5.1% 2.4% 1.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Peter Cronin 2.8% 2.9% 5.0% 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.4% 6.0% 5.8% 7.9% 9.6% 9.6% 11.2% 13.3% 9.1%
Alex Abate 3.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 8.4% 9.6% 12.3% 15.1% 12.3%
Grace Gear 3.7% 4.0% 3.7% 5.7% 5.4% 4.2% 6.7% 6.0% 6.5% 7.3% 8.2% 7.5% 11.3% 11.0% 8.8%
Walter Henry 5.7% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 6.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.0% 6.9% 8.5% 7.4% 7.0% 6.9% 4.6% 1.7%
Perham Black 4.9% 5.4% 4.7% 5.4% 5.9% 6.8% 6.1% 5.0% 7.4% 8.7% 9.4% 8.8% 10.0% 6.7% 4.8%
Parker Colantuono 5.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.4% 7.6% 6.2% 8.1% 6.6% 8.1% 7.9% 6.2% 9.3% 5.9% 6.1% 1.9%
Marina Hutzler 1.2% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 5.5% 8.3% 14.3% 48.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.